Phoenix Rising
September 16, 2010
Trends in the mining industry come and go, great management
teams keep companies relevant and stable when their targeted resources are no
longer the toast of the town. Mawson Resources Ltd. (MAW – Toronto, MWSNF -
OTC) is one of those companies, with their new gold properties really piquing
investors’, and Areva’s (currently a 10%+ owner of the shares), interest in the
shares. The stock is up nearly 130% (from when we wrote about it last
December) with volume surging, clearly indicating investors’ appetite for
shares in the company.
We had a chance to discuss Mawson with its CEO Michael
Hudson recently, and we walked away from the conversation even more bullish on
our outlook for the company. Mawson is going to be focusing much of their
exploration budget on their two highly prospective gold plays, Rompas (gold and
uranium) in Finland and Alto Quemado (gold and copper) in Peru. They will also spend about 15% of their exploration budget on their uranium
properties in Sweden. The company is investing exploration dollars in red hot
gold and uranium, which seems to be beginning a new bull market itself.
Mr. Hudson indicated that at the Rompass project in Finland that there is currently a work program underway that is “focused on the 6 km
Au-Mineralized discovery trend to outline the extent and controls on
mineralization and define the highest priority drill targets.” In late August
the company will commence a 3,200 line km airborne geophysical survey. Right
now, the company is collecting thousands of rock chip and soil samples to
complete the mapping and final prospecting for the project. This will allow
Mawson to discover any additional mineralization located throughout the
extensive 95.000 hectare land holding. Although 100% secured, Mawson cannot
trench or drill the project because the permits are still in the application
stage, but Mawson is currently, “working with the Finnish government to clarify
the timing of granting.” It is important to note that all other exploration
activities are available to the company, just not trenching and drilling until
they are granted the permits (this is typical of new projects/discoveries).
At Alto Quemado in Peru, the company has a 12-member team on
the ground, “mapping and sampling the high grade structures and porphyry target
zone at surface and underground for the first time,” with this program defining
drill targets which the company will seek permission to drill in 2011,
according to Mr. Hudson.
The company believes that both Rompass and Alto Quemado have
the potential to be a company maker, and this is based on the exploration work
to date. Mr. Hudson indicated that Mawson would spend about C$3.5 million on
exploration with the focus being on the two gold properties. That would leave
the company with C$5.5 million in its Treasury before taking out overhead and
other administrative expenses, so the company is currently well funded. Also
the company has about C$600,000 in shares of, “Canadian and Australian listed
exploration companies as a result of property transactions.”
In the next 12-24 months investors should expect the company
to have drilled both of their gold properties as well as continuing exploration
efforts in the Hotagen district in Sweden (uranium). Mr. Hudson also stated,
“we aim to increase our exposure through Peru given Peru’s “elephant” country
status to host world class ore bodies.” If the past is any indication, any
property addition for Mawson would be great news for investors as they target
company-makers, rather than the cow pastures sought by many companies for the
sake of issuing a press release.
Mr. Hudson confirmed our belief that news flow will be
picking up as the company will be giving investors updates regarding
exploration efforts. With gold prices near all-time highs and uranium prices
rebounding strongly, the releases will be drawing investors’ attention in to
Mawson shares as the company has strategically acquired prime properties highly
prospective for or currently containing resources of these metals.
Regarding uranium, Mr. Hudson still believes long-term it is
poised to move higher, citing two key factors. First, “there remains a
long-term contango in the uranium market,” with some predicting that at some
point the short and long-term prices will converge. Also with demand rising
above the supply of uranium, any new supply would have to be enticed to come to
market, and with most new projects’ mining costs at US$60/lb., prices would
need to rise considerably to encourage development of the new mines.
For those unfamiliar with Mawson’s uranium holdings, they
have, inter alia, the Swedish Tasjo project which is a massive land package
that the Swedish government believes holds 104 million lbs of uranium. This
project also has a potential rare earth element kicker as the project contains
an estimated 165,000 to 180,000 tonnes of various REEs (the largest percentage
from the drill results we could track down being Cerium, Yttrium, Neodymium and
Lanthanum).
The company also has the Hotagen project which it will drill
on this season, and the Duobblon project (Sweden’s largest hard rock uranium
resource) where drilling commenced earlier this year.
It has been our belief for some time that Mawson has
tremendous upside, and our conversation with Michael Hudson only served to
reinforce this belief. The company aims to use its current cash and planned
exploration work to create a mid-tier junior, which with one drill season is
absolutely possible. Mawson, with its low share count, leverage to gold and uranium,
strong balance sheet and extremely competent management team, coupled with some
favorable future exploration results has the potential to further richly reward
investors over the next 6 to 12 months.