How to View the Correction (Here and in Sweden)
Thursday, May 25, 2006
So we believe that the market correction in the resources
is over, but we are not sure as to when the prices will resume their upward
march again. At this time we are not as much concerned about them going up as we
are with getting our stakes. Much as the race has been on for uranium companies
to stake the most promising lands, it is now on for the individual investors to
establish stakes in the most promising stocks. We recommended sxrUraniumone when
we called the recent bottom as well as an oil sands player Canwest. We stick by
those picks especially as SXR pushes ahead with its Honeymoon project in
Australia. Now although we added to those stakes, we also look to add to others
or even acquire new stakes altogether! So long as the market flatlines, we see a
buying opportunity, however no margin at this time because there are times when
the market does what you least expect and what you perceived as perfect timing
is dead wrong.
Sticking with energy we also see a buying opportunity in
Lundin Petroleum (LUPE.ST) as it has become known to us that the Swedes are
allowed to buy up to 80% on margin in their country. We believe that this is the
reason (and truly the only reason) that Lundin has lost over 25% of its value in
the past week. However, we take solace in knowing that only 15% of its shares
outstanding belong to small investors. In other words all the recent selling has
come as these guys are forced out (due to margin calls most likely) but we are
now left with a much stronger foundation to build upon as more financially sound
owners come aboard. Our belief is that if you are going to successfully invest
in oil, you will have to buy GROWING oil companies, because it still (in some
cases) allows for growth with falling prices in resources, and oil is a
resource.
At this time we believe that accumulation in the soon-to-be
producers is the way to play, and at the time that those stocks begin to recover
is when we can once again begin to speculate in the explorers. Cameco is also
looking quite interesting at these prices. We are currently working on some
company profiles which has been consuming most of our time, and hope to have
those up in the next couple of weeks. So keep periodically checking in to see
the updates.