Interview with Robert
Mackay, CEO of Stans Energy Corp.
October 20, 2010
Matthew B. Smith
Theinvestar.com: Mr. Mackay, can you tell us about Stans Energy and
your REE projects, including the past producing HREE mine Kutessay II?
Robert
Mackay: Stans
Energy Corp was founded in 2005 when we travelled to Kyrgyzstan to look at a
gold property. We met with Dr. Gennady Savchenko who is now our Managing
Director in Kyrgyzstan and we were impressed with his knowledge of the country
and his professionalism. When you work in jurisdictions that you are not
familiar with, it is VERY important that you have the right people you can
trust and know the culture and the industry locally.
When we started
the company we were initially focused on acquiring uranium properties. Gennady
was in charge of uranium geology for Kyrgyzstan and southern Kazakhstan during the USSR era, and therefore he helped us to identify the most promising sites. We
were looking only to acquire those properties that had open pit or leaching
capabilities, and we passed on ones that would be difficult to mine. I am
proud to say that even following the collapse of the uranium boom Stans is one
of the few companies that still has operations in Kyrgyzstan,.
In 2006, we did
a complete study of all the radioactive areas in Kyrgyzstan. In that study, we
noted the Aktuyz Ore Field and the Kutessay II past producing REE mine, but at
the time, the deposits were unavailable.
In the fall of
2009, the government informed us that they were holding an auction to sell the
licenses for the REE mine - Kutessay II, and the beryllium deposit - Kalesay.
We immediately put a team together, including the top law firm in Kyrgyzstan, to prepare for the auction. The auction was held on December 29th
2009, and fortunately for us, we were well prepared and were the highest
bidder.
Theinvestar.com: What is the distribution between HREEs and LREEs?
Robert Mackay: Our historical distribution is about 50/50.
Theinvestar.com: Within that, which individual elements have the
greatest proportion?
Robert Mackay: In terms of quantity, Cerium and Yttrium make up 53%
of the deposit, but in terms of value, using today’s prices, Europium,
Dysprosium, Terbium and Yttrium make up roughly 66% of the potential revenue
from Kutessay II, and these are the elements that we believe will have high
growth rates in demand in the near future.
Theinvestar.com: Do you have a value per tonne for this deposit?
If so, can you also give us your estimate for its total value (total deposit
value)?
Robert Mackay: This will depend on our JORC and metallurgical
results, but based on historical data , we estimate a grade of .3 REOs, which
equates to about $240 per tonne using today’s prices. These totals don’t
account for recovery rates, nor do they account for any additional by-product
revenue. Both of these two additional variables can be added to the per tonne
calculation once our updated metallurgical tests are complete.
Theinvestar.com: I am told that you have a resource estimate, JORC,
coming out soon. When can investors expect to see this released?
Robert Mackay: Historical tonnage is 51,500,000 kgs of REOs, which is
not recognized in the NI 43-101 or JORC standards so that is why we are doing a
JORC. We still need to complete a drill hole to depth to find out how deep the
dome-shaped deposit extends. This was the official reserve calculation that the
auction was based on. What is interesting is that the reserve calculation the
government based the auction on was calculated to 25 meters below the bottom
exploration drift and even though the deposit is widening to depth the deposit
has not been drilled below that level. They had 72 years of mine life when they
started the mine based on 300,000 tons a year so given that there were still
decades of tonnage left in the mine there was no need to do deep exploration to
look for more.
Theinvestar.com: Does Stans already have a mining permit/license for
the project? Is there a legacy operating license from when the mine was
in production?
Robert Mackay: Stans owns a 25-year mining licence issued by the
Kyrgyz Ministry of Resources. The mine is fully permitted to re-start
operations.
Theinvestar.com: What does the timeline look like to get to
production?
Robert Mackay: This is the big question. Time is a function of money
and right now we’re progressing our project as fast as we can while conserving
the money we have. Our plan is to have all the pieces for a feasibility study
at the beginning of January, 2011, one year after the purchase of the mine.
From there, with debt financing and some upgrades, best case scenario would be
production in late 2012.
Theinvestar.com: How much is it going to cost to refurbish the mine,
buildings and surrounding infrastructure?
Robert Mackay: The other big question… That is for a feasibility
study to determine, and we are currently in negotiations for the processing
facilities, so I cannot comment on the buildings. As far as infrastructure is
concerned, it’s all there; roads, rail, power and water. You can drive a
Cadillac into the bottom of the pit. There are even many knowledgeable people
still living in the area who used to work at the mine. On a relative basis, it
is safe to say that Kutessay II will require a fraction of the capital
necessary for many other REE properties.
Theinvestar.com: What exactly does the recent MOI you signed with a
State-Owned institute in Russia cover?
Robert Mackay: The MOI with VHIINT is step one of our plans in Russia. Our two organizations will jointly review the REE potential in the Russia
Federation for the purpose of acquisitions. This MOI marks the first time that
VNIIHT, a state-owned institute for mining chemical technology, is planning to
pursue direct ownership in mining and exploration properties. I’m in Moscow now and we’ve just met with the Institute’s directors. We’re all very excited to
begin what we believe will be a long, mutually beneficial partnership.
Theinvestar.com: Some are skeptical of the operating environment in Kyrgyzstan. Can you shed any light on the operating environment for investors?
Has the company made any inroads in opening a dialogue with the government
there to ensure a smooth transition in moving the mine from its current state
back into production?
Robert Mackay: Since we started in exploring in Kyrgyzstan, I can say with that we’ve had nothing but positive experiences when dealing
with the Kyrgyz government. This is a country that wants new mines, and they’ve
made it one of their top priorities for foreign investment. The best way to go
deeper into this subject is to view our political update on our website - http://www.stansenergy.com/stans-energy-chair-kyrgyz-president-roza-otunbayeva/
Theinvestar.com: How much cash does the company currently have?
Also, could you tell us what it is held in (corporate paper, cds, etc.)?
Robert Mackay: Our Q2 financials stated a total of about $2.4
million, with $700,000 spent in the quarter and all of it is in cash or short
term bank notes. Our Q3 financials will be made available in November. (Since
doing this interview, Stans raised another $1,500,000 with Rare Capital Fund)
Theinvestar.com: Will you need to raise any funds over the next 6-12
months?
Robert Mackay: We may need to raise money for the feasibility study,
and possibly for additional acquisitions, however over the past couple months
we’ve been contacted by a number of institutions including a bank who are
interested in our project, so we will have financing options.
Theinvestar.com: What percentage of the company does management own?
Robert Mackay: The
founders of Stans own roughly 32 million shares and many of those are held in
escrow for the next 4 years.
Theinvestar.com: Are you going to go it alone on this project, or
could you take on partners?
Robert Mackay: We are a growth oriented company, and so we will try
to stay nimble. We believe that end-users are going to determine which REE
projects are successful and which aren’t. A partner in Japan would be ideal as they are the biggest importer of HREEs in the world.
Theinvestar.com: We have been told by some of our contacts in the
industry that manufacturers of the products that use rare earths are interested
in locking up new supply and that they could be willing to help bring mining
facilities online. Has Stans been contacted about any opportunities such
as this?
Robert Mackay: Yes.
Theinvestar.com: You have the old Russian mine, Kutessay II, but on
the same property you have some other areas of interest, when will you drill
test these?
Robert Mackay: Currently we’re awaiting drill core assay results of a
new zone, 500m south-west of Kutessay II. Our geophysical survey indicated a
large metallic sulphide anomaly with high thorium content, which is similar to
the Kutessay II geophysical signature. We suspect it’s mineralized, but we
don’t know the grades. We will be doing a complete geophysical survey over the
40 sq km area of the Aktuyz Ore Field this fall to look for additional
mineralized areas.
Theinvestar.com: What are you doing regarding the metallurgy?
Will you verify the Russians’ old method and simply use that, or will that be a
building block on the way to get higher returns with modern technology?
Robert Mackay: This is one of my biggest frustrations with the
investment community as the market generally doesn’t appreciate just how
valuable it is for a project to have a proven industrial scale process to
extract the final rare earth metals or oxides from these complex ores. These
deposits have extremely complex metallurgy and at our mine Kutessay II it took
the Soviets 7 years to get the mill to work at a consistant rate and then 4
additional years to perfect the separation at KCMP and that is with the
unlimited budget and brainpower of the USSR..
What we are doing is
refining the process by using new separation equipment and chemicals. We are
not reinventing the extraction process we are refining it. The equipment used
at KCMP is still used today in the industry and it is all titanium and
stainless steel so it was overbuilt like many Soviet plants.
Theinvestar.com: Looking at the industry as it is now, where do you
see Stans in five years? Further, will Stans be a consolidator, seller,
or neither in the industry going forward?
Robert Mackay: Our goal is to be the biggest, low-cost HREE developer
in the world. Much needs to happen for Stans to achieve our goals, but we
believe them to be attainable.
Theinvestar.com: REE prices have been moving dramatically higher
lately. Is this the new price level, or are we overpriced or underpriced
at these current levels?
Robert Mackay: There are many misconceptions about REE prices given
the uniqueness of the industrial uses, and the current sources of production. China determines the prices that the rest of the world accepts for REEs. We believe that
LREEs are well overpriced based on FOB pricing, and HREEs are underpriced,
given our expectations of expected future demand.
Theinvestar.com: Where do you see prices in a year? Over the
next five?
Robert Mackay: Tough question to put numbers on… How about I answer
based on my projected economics and you can decide the numbers. We believe
that due to China’s HREE industry consolidation, the crack-down on illegal HREE
exports, and mining standards improvements, HREEs will continue to increase in
price. Chinese quotas, and the amount of new production from India, Vietnam, Russia, and Australia will determine the prices for LREEs. In 5 years, we see a
price war in LREEs as many new sources are made available, and a shortage of
HREEs.
Theinvestar.com: When you look at Stans and your properties and then
look at the rest of the industry, what are your thoughts? Do you see your
company as fairly valued, undervalued or overvalued?
Robert Mackay: I believe that it’s going to take a very
long time for the REE space to develop in North America because of regulation.
The Wall Street Journal did a study this spring and concluded it takes 7 years
to get a mining license on average and that is without having to accommodate
the storage and handling of radioactive elements that are found in most HREE
deposits. My experience says that investors will eventually grow impatient.
Currently, the market for HREEs outside of China is small. Those who can reach
low-cost production the fastest, will enjoy fruitful returns on their
investment. That being said, if demand increases the way many analysts expect,
China could become a net importer of REEs, and there won’t be enough REE
properties to go around.
Every CEO in the
world thinks his or her company is undervalued. It’s in our nature, and it’s
why we work as hard as we do.
Theinvestar.com:
Thank you for your time today
Mr. Mackay, we look forward to hearing more about these exciting events as they
unfold.
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