A Few Updates with Analysis
Friday, April 28, 2006
Ur Energy: So it seems that investors are beginning to 
realize just how undervalued Ur Energy was, as the stock has recently taken off 
due to some land deals that have added pounds-in-the-ground to their holdings in 
Wyoming. The stock is up about 33% the last week, and we expect further gains in 
the future. At this time we cannot comment on what exactly are the pros and cons 
of their land transaction in Canada, but that will be pondered as soon as we 
know something for sure. This is a stock that we are going to look at 
accumulating should it have a decent pullback or begin to consolidate.
Canalaska: What was one of our best performers has recently 
given back nearly half of its gains. This is leading up to the news of their 
drilling results, which were supposed to be out this month but due to delays 
will be released in May. So we wonder if someone knows something that we do not, 
or if this is just the speculators not wanting to take further risks. At this 
point, we are sticking around for the drilling results, and may contemplate 
adding to our positions. However this will be only if there is a buying 
opportunity before the drilling results have come out seeing how we just grew 
our holdings by 25% somewhere near the beginning of this recent pullback. This 
is one to keep an eye out for as it could easily double on good results, and get 
cut down to somewhere around the $.35 area on disappointing news.
Cameco: The keystone to a balanced uranium portfolio due to 
its industry leader status and the fact that it produces uranium as we speak. 
This is a hold as of right now, and we expect the stock to start building a base 
around this $40 area as oil is retreating.
SXRuraniumone: If Cameco is our Keystone, this is right 
next to it. It should become the next junior to produce which will instantly 
begin to line its pockets with cold hard cash. This is very important as the 
company will have the ability to leverage and the money to build at Honeymoon 
and its other projects in the future without diluting its current owners' 
equity. This was proclaimed “Our next Blue Chip” and it has hit a new 52 week 
high this trading week.
Paladin: Watch this stock, as it will have a mine opening 
up shortly after SXR. It may earn itself into that elite club of future blue 
chip status. It has also had a nice run lately, and we are looking to add on any 
dips.
Canwest: The stock seems to have its support around $6.50 
area, +/- a few cents. Every time the stock approaches or closes at those levels 
it seems to have a decent percentage run from that area. I am no TA, and am not 
supporting day trading of this stock, but if we were going to add to our 
holdings at this time that is the area we would wait to add to our positions at. 
Also the newswire has been awfully quite from the company recently, and this 
should end sometime. Drill results should be out sometime soon, and if they are 
half as good as past results then it should provide some nice upside to the 
stock. Our last article may have sounded negative about the potential for loss 
of the oil shale holding, but that is not the case. Remember we own shares in 
this so we are looking for significant upside on the oil sands alone. This is 
after all the reason most got into this stock, an absurdly cheap play on the 
black sands of Canada. Regardless, down here in the States people are beginning 
to speak of the vast oil shales of the West. It will take years to develop that 
area to produce, but it is moving the spotlight to that area. It seems that the 
second play on CWPC is coming into play early (Oil Shale). This stock could take 
off once it is on the AMEX and people begin to discover all the plays on 
unconventional oil it possess. On the Hills alone (assuming the oil is in the 
shale as supposed, and it is economical to get it out) the company is grossly 
undervalued. The stock could go to $21 in a year if the Hills really do possess 
3.4 billion barrels of oil within them and the company decides to move forward 
with the project. We eagerly await the news that is inevitably due out within 
the month on this stock (There is so much potential here, it is almost unheard 
of).
Lundin: The stock set a new 52-week high shortly after our 
story, and also set a new intra-day high in the same day. It has since backed 
off, but still has not crossed south of that ever important 100 mark (remember 
that we are not dealing with Dollars here). This stock should track oil until 
they begin drilling in Sudan after the wet season, if the situation in the south 
allows them to that is. 
As an investor it is important to look for trends. Trends 
are everything, as I have learned, sometimes so much so that a stock can 
gravitate upwards for no reason other than they are in a trendy industry. 
Everyone remembers the 'internet craze' (companies with no revenues or profits 
with stock prices levitating to the stratosphere because a .com was at the end 
of their name) and the energy 'traders' (they traded a lot of energy, but it was 
sold between the same companies for the same $), but these are not the only 
trends that exist. Sometimes there are trends within trends, such as the uranium 
trend within the energy trend. That takes it below the surface, but what about 
trends within uranium? Well this is how money will be made, big dollars. You 
just have to find them, and already I have found a few. The one I find most 
intriguing at this time is what I want to call the 'Dines Phenomenon'. If you do 
not subscribe to his newsletter (personally not a subscriber) you can visit the 
various message boards and discover what some of his picks are. Well looking 
carefully many of his stock picks fair much better on big down days for uranium 
companies. Now this is not because he is a far superior stock guru than the rest 
of us, its simply that his followers listen to what he says, and he has stated 
that he’s in this for the long haul, not trading if you listen to his readers on 
the message boards. So his people are not only holding the stock as it goes down 
in sympathy with its peers, but at the same time buying on the dips! This adds 
support to the stock and stems losses. 
Now I have been told through the comments on this site that 
maybe I should listen to Dines and like some of his stocks. Ok, great. But when 
I take a stock like Fronteer Resources Group (FRG) and state the reasons I would 
not buy it after a big run-up, that's my opinion. The stock went from $3.50 to 
over $7 in a short period, and was due for a pullback. I truly believe that your 
resources are better put to work elsewhere as this company will be working on 
bringing its projects online (nonuranium by the way). If you love gold and 
silver, which I think is a good investment at this point, then this may be a 
stock for you. But this brings up another concern for me which I will 
undoubtedly receive criticism for. Check out the bottom of the Mexican gold and 
silver release...”Fronteer may earn a 100% interest, subject to a Teck Cominco 
back in right, in both of these projects by spending a combined total of US $2.0 
million over four years on exploration to be divided between these two 
properties.” Now that back in right, what exactly are the terms? Well you cannot 
find it on the company's website or in the rest of that press release, so I 
think this may be a subject to do some Due Diligence on. I agree that it would 
be great to gain 100% of this project, but what if the Mexican entity can 
exercise that right and steal back majority ownership of this discovery...? This 
is why I am not an FRG fan, and because of that I cannot be an Aurora fan with 
the taint of its parent company on it. Plus we want stocks that do not have 
parent companies behind them, because if they have parent companies behind them 
then they are not our investment vehicles, but rather the investment vehicles of 
their parent company. AND THAT IS WHAT AURORA IS. The name of this game is ASSET 
ALLOCATION, and we must wisely allocate our assets in order to get the highest 
rate of return on our capital.